Budget dilemma: Proposed cuts could hit Medicare and Medicaid, affect millions

In the labyrinth of Washington politics, the budget is more than just numbers on a page—it's a reflection of priorities and a sign of changes that could directly impact your life.

For those who have worked hard and planned for a secure future, the stability of Medicare and Medicaid is not just a political talking point–it's a vital concern.

Recent developments suggest that these programs, which are lifelines for millions of Americans, may be facing significant challenges.



House Republicans are currently facing a challenge as they attempt to balance their budgetary goals with the needs of their constituents.

They've set a budget target that is crucial for advancing President Donald Trump's legislative agenda, which includes issues like immigration, energy, and taxes.

However, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO)—the nonpartisan agency that serves as the official scorekeeper for Congress—has confirmed that meeting this target without cutting into Medicare or Medicaid would be a difficult goal.

The budget blueprint adopted by House Republicans aims to cut spending under the jurisdiction of the House Energy and Commerce Committee by a whopping $880 billion.


Screenshot 2025-03-07 at 09.51.36.png
House Republicans are facing challenges to meet their budget target without making cuts to Medicare or Medicaid, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Image source: House Republicans / Youtube.



But here's the catch: when you set Medicare aside, the committee oversees $8.8 trillion over 10 years, with Medicaid accounting for $8.2 trillion of that.

That's a staggering 93% of the total. Without touching Medicare and Medicaid, the committee is left with only $581 billion to work with—far less than the $880 billion target.

The letter showing the figures was a reply to a query by Reps. Frank Pallone, D-N.J., the ranking member of the Energy and Commerce Committee, and Brendan Boyle, D-Pa. the ranking member of the Budget Committee.

This leaves Republicans with a conundrum. The budget resolution, which passed by the narrowest of margins, is the result of a delicate negotiation between conservative members pushing for deep cuts and those representing swing districts who are wary of slashing health programs that their voters depend on.

You might be interested: Medicare’s fate in question as White House shifts tone



Revising the budget target could upset the fragile balance within, risking the support needed to pass the budget reconciliation bill that would push Trump's agenda forward.

Democrats have seized on this issue, accusing Trump of trying to cut health care for the working class to fund tax cuts for the wealthy.

The tension was palpable when Rep. Al Green, D-Texas, was escorted out of the House chamber during Trump's speech to Congress after protesting potential Medicaid cuts. He shouted, “You have no mandate to cut Medicaid!”

Despite President Trump's assurances that “Medicare, Medicaid—none of that stuff is going to be touched,” House Republicans have signaled that Medicaid could be on the chopping block.

“...The math doesn’t work without devastating Medicaid cuts,” Pallone stated. “Republicans know their spin is a lie, and the truth is they have no problem taking health care away from millions of Americans so that the rich can get richer and pay less in taxes than they already do.”


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The CBO confirmed that significant cuts would be necessary to meet the budget blueprint's $880 billion spending reduction target under the jurisdiction of the House Energy and Commerce Committee. Image source: Forbes Breaking News / Youtube.



Medicare offers healthcare services to seniors, while Medicaid provides coverage for individuals with low incomes and disabilities.

Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., has pointed to Medicaid as a target for reducing spending, citing concerns over fraud, waste, and abuse.


Source: Forbes Breaking News / Youtube.​


“Medicaid is hugely problematic because it has a lot of fraud, waste and abuse,” Johnson shared with reporters last week. “I think it’s $50 billion a year in fraud alone in Medicaid. Those are precious taxpayer dollars. Everybody is committed to preserving Medicare benefits for those who desperately need it and deserve it and qualify for it. What we’re talking about is rooting out the fraud, waste and abuse.”

Johnson's office referenced a statistic from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) indicating an “improper payment rate” under Medicaid of $50.3 billion.



However, the CMS report clarified that these were not predominantly due to fraud, with 82% resulting from insufficient documentation—often administrative oversights rather than intentional wrongdoing.

“Of the 2023 Medicaid improper payments, 82% were the result of insufficient documentation,” CMS shared in the 2023 report. “These payments typically involve situations where a state or provider missed an administrative step and do not necessarily indicate fraud or abuse.”


Source: CBS News / Youtube.​


Also read: Protect your benefits: How republican proposals will revolutionize Medicare and Medicaid–stay informed!

Key Takeaways
  • House Republicans are facing challenges to meet their budget target without making cuts to Medicare or Medicaid, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
  • The CBO confirmed that significant cuts would be necessary to meet the budget blueprint's $880 billion spending reduction target under the jurisdiction of the House Energy and Commerce Committee.
  • Democrats are criticizing Republicans for aiming to cut health care programs, which they claim will affect millions of Americans to finance tax cuts for the wealthy.
  • President Donald Trump has claimed that “Medicare, Medicaid — none of that stuff is going to be touched,” while House Republicans, including Speaker Mike Johnson, indicate that Medicaid is being considered for cuts to eliminate fraud, waste, and abuse.

Have you or your loved ones been affected by changes to Medicare or Medicaid in the past? What are your thoughts on this issue? Share your stories and thoughts in the comments below, but please remember to remain respectful.
 
Whether or not there's a health program like Medicare or Medicaid in place is immaterial, since people will still need health care, so the burden will still be on the medical establishment. A great deal of Trump's base uses either Medicaid or Medicare, and w/o those safety nets, the backlash will be felt at the ballot box. And the billionaire oligarchs that run this country better realize there's a lot more of us than them. The French revolution could easily happen again.
 

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