Could USAID cuts endanger millions? What the latest research reveals
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When we think about the impact of a single dollar, we often picture a cart of groceries or a line on a receipt.
But what if a few spare cents a day could save a life?
According to a striking new study published in The Lancet, a mere 17 cents daily—less than the cost of a postage stamp—could mean the difference between life and death for millions across the globe.
Shortly after President Trump’s return to the White House for a second term, his administration cut a staggering 83% of programs run by the US Agency for International Development (USAID).
For years, USAID had been a cornerstone of American humanitarian efforts, accounting for over 40% of global aid.
Practically overnight, more than 5,200 of its 6,200 programs were eliminated—a move insiders described as running the agency “through the woodchipper.”
While USAID's budget made up just 0.3% of total federal spending, the reach of that tiny slice was massive.
Its sudden loss, however, is proving equally far-reaching.
What’s at stake: 14 million lives
According to The Lancet report, more than 14 million lives could be lost by 2030 as a direct result of these aid cuts—including 4.5 million children under age five.
That’s roughly the population of Illinois, wiped out in less than a decade.
Lead researcher Davide Rasella and his team warn the shock to low- and middle-income countries could mirror the damage of a major war or pandemic.
Historically, USAID’s support has helped lower all-cause deaths in recipient nations by 15% and slashed child mortality by 32%.
In disease-specific areas like HIV/AIDS, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases, that number reached as high as 65%.
Also read: Internal fallout at USAID: Mass layoffs leave global staff reeling
A lifesaving legacy, now in jeopardy
From 2001 to 2021, USAID funding is estimated to have helped prevent approximately 91 million deaths, according to the study.
The researchers project that without continued support, an additional 700,000 child deaths could occur annually.
Following the US cutbacks, other major donors—including Germany, the UK, and France—also announced plans to reduce their aid budgets.
The European Union is reportedly considering similar reductions, prompting concerns from study co-author Caterina Monti about the potential for further increases in global mortality.
Also read: Is tuberculosis making a comeback? How USAID cuts could trigger a global health crisis
Why foreign aid still matters
While foreign aid often focuses on humanitarian needs, it also plays a role in promoting global health, security, and stability.
Access to clean water, vaccines, and basic medical care can help reduce the spread of disease and support healthier populations.
Research has also linked aid-supported programs to greater community stability.
The United States has historically been a significant contributor to international aid efforts.
Scaling back this support could have implications for both global outcomes and the country’s international influence.
Also read: Shocking global shakeup: How Trump’s latest move could directly impact thousands of jobs
A powerful impact for pennies
James Macinko, a study co-author from the University of California, frames it clearly: “US citizens contribute about 17 cents per day to USAID—around $64 per year. I think most people would support continued funding if they knew how effective such a small contribution can be.”
It highlights how even modest contributions can lead to meaningful outcomes.
What happens next?
As world leaders gather in Seville for one of the largest aid summits in a decade, the United States is not in attendance.
Researchers involved in the study emphasize the importance of maintaining or increasing support.
They note that decisions made at this stage could have long-term global implications.
While the numbers may seem overwhelming, history shows that collective efforts—through advocacy, policy, or even small contributions—can drive meaningful change.
Whether it’s staying informed, reaching out to elected officials, or supporting global health initiatives, individual actions can still make a difference.
Read next: Global aid shifts raise concerns over health and hunger, officials warn
At The GrayVine, we know our readers care about the bigger picture. Have you or someone you know been involved in humanitarian work? Do you believe the US should continue to invest in global aid—or is it time to redirect those dollars closer to home? We’d love to hear your thoughts, stories, and questions in the comments.
But what if a few spare cents a day could save a life?
According to a striking new study published in The Lancet, a mere 17 cents daily—less than the cost of a postage stamp—could mean the difference between life and death for millions across the globe.
Shortly after President Trump’s return to the White House for a second term, his administration cut a staggering 83% of programs run by the US Agency for International Development (USAID).
For years, USAID had been a cornerstone of American humanitarian efforts, accounting for over 40% of global aid.
Practically overnight, more than 5,200 of its 6,200 programs were eliminated—a move insiders described as running the agency “through the woodchipper.”
While USAID's budget made up just 0.3% of total federal spending, the reach of that tiny slice was massive.
Its sudden loss, however, is proving equally far-reaching.
Recent US foreign aid cuts have triggered global concern among health and policy experts. Image Source: YouTube / WSJ News.
What’s at stake: 14 million lives
According to The Lancet report, more than 14 million lives could be lost by 2030 as a direct result of these aid cuts—including 4.5 million children under age five.
That’s roughly the population of Illinois, wiped out in less than a decade.
Lead researcher Davide Rasella and his team warn the shock to low- and middle-income countries could mirror the damage of a major war or pandemic.
Historically, USAID’s support has helped lower all-cause deaths in recipient nations by 15% and slashed child mortality by 32%.
In disease-specific areas like HIV/AIDS, malaria, and neglected tropical diseases, that number reached as high as 65%.
Also read: Internal fallout at USAID: Mass layoffs leave global staff reeling
A lifesaving legacy, now in jeopardy
From 2001 to 2021, USAID funding is estimated to have helped prevent approximately 91 million deaths, according to the study.
The researchers project that without continued support, an additional 700,000 child deaths could occur annually.
Following the US cutbacks, other major donors—including Germany, the UK, and France—also announced plans to reduce their aid budgets.
The European Union is reportedly considering similar reductions, prompting concerns from study co-author Caterina Monti about the potential for further increases in global mortality.
Also read: Is tuberculosis making a comeback? How USAID cuts could trigger a global health crisis
Why foreign aid still matters
While foreign aid often focuses on humanitarian needs, it also plays a role in promoting global health, security, and stability.
Access to clean water, vaccines, and basic medical care can help reduce the spread of disease and support healthier populations.
Research has also linked aid-supported programs to greater community stability.
The United States has historically been a significant contributor to international aid efforts.
Scaling back this support could have implications for both global outcomes and the country’s international influence.
Also read: Shocking global shakeup: How Trump’s latest move could directly impact thousands of jobs
A powerful impact for pennies
James Macinko, a study co-author from the University of California, frames it clearly: “US citizens contribute about 17 cents per day to USAID—around $64 per year. I think most people would support continued funding if they knew how effective such a small contribution can be.”
It highlights how even modest contributions can lead to meaningful outcomes.
What happens next?
As world leaders gather in Seville for one of the largest aid summits in a decade, the United States is not in attendance.
Researchers involved in the study emphasize the importance of maintaining or increasing support.
They note that decisions made at this stage could have long-term global implications.
While the numbers may seem overwhelming, history shows that collective efforts—through advocacy, policy, or even small contributions—can drive meaningful change.
Whether it’s staying informed, reaching out to elected officials, or supporting global health initiatives, individual actions can still make a difference.
Read next: Global aid shifts raise concerns over health and hunger, officials warn
At The GrayVine, we know our readers care about the bigger picture. Have you or someone you know been involved in humanitarian work? Do you believe the US should continue to invest in global aid—or is it time to redirect those dollars closer to home? We’d love to hear your thoughts, stories, and questions in the comments.
