Is your Social Security check about to get smaller? Here’s what’s unfolding
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If you’re like most Americans over 60, Social Security isn’t just a line on your bank statement—it’s a lifeline.
It’s the monthly reassurance that you can pay the bills, keep the lights on, and maybe even treat the grandkids to ice cream.
But a new, sobering report has landed, and it’s sending shockwaves through the retiree community: Social Security’s trust fund is running out of money faster than expected, and unless Congress acts, your check could shrink by thousands of dollars a year—starting as soon as 2033.
According to the latest projections from the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), Social Security’s retirement fund could be depleted by the end of 2032.
That’s just seven years away.
If nothing changes, federal law requires that benefits be slashed to match the money coming in—resulting in an automatic 24% cut for everyone receiving Social Security.
To put that in perspective:
Also read: Retirement dream derailed: How a senior housing promise left this 89-year-old with nearly nothing
Social Security is funded by payroll taxes and a trust fund built up over decades. But as more Americans retire and live longer, the system is paying out more than it’s taking in.
The recent Big, Beautiful Bill signed into law—extending tax cuts from the Trump administration—has also played a role.
By reducing certain taxes, the bill shrinks the revenue Social Security gets from the taxation of benefits, nudging the program closer to insolvency.
Also read: What the "Big Beautiful Bill" could mean for your energy bills—and the environment
And it’s not just Social Security. Medicare’s hospital insurance trust fund (that’s Part A, which covers hospital stays and skilled nursing) is also projected to run dry in late 2032. If that happens, payments for hospital services could be cut by 11%.)
Right now, Congress has not moved forward with any specific fix. But according to the CRFB, that’s not a neutral position.
“Policymakers pledging not to touch Social Security are implicitly endorsing these deep benefit cuts for 62 million retirees in 2032 and beyond,” the committee said.
Read next: New bipartisan proposal could reshape Social Security—here’s what it means for your future
Are you worried about the future of Social Security? Have you made changes to your retirement plans in light of these reports? What would you like to see Congress do?
It’s the monthly reassurance that you can pay the bills, keep the lights on, and maybe even treat the grandkids to ice cream.
But a new, sobering report has landed, and it’s sending shockwaves through the retiree community: Social Security’s trust fund is running out of money faster than expected, and unless Congress acts, your check could shrink by thousands of dollars a year—starting as soon as 2033.
According to the latest projections from the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), Social Security’s retirement fund could be depleted by the end of 2032.
That’s just seven years away.
If nothing changes, federal law requires that benefits be slashed to match the money coming in—resulting in an automatic 24% cut for everyone receiving Social Security.
To put that in perspective:
- A couple who both worked could see their annual benefits drop by $18,100 if they retire at the start of 2033.
- A single-earner couple might lose $13,600 a year.
- Even low-income couples could see an $11,000 annual cut.
- High-income couples? They could lose as much as $24,000 a year.
Also read: Retirement dream derailed: How a senior housing promise left this 89-year-old with nearly nothing
Social Security is funded by payroll taxes and a trust fund built up over decades. But as more Americans retire and live longer, the system is paying out more than it’s taking in.
The recent Big, Beautiful Bill signed into law—extending tax cuts from the Trump administration—has also played a role.
By reducing certain taxes, the bill shrinks the revenue Social Security gets from the taxation of benefits, nudging the program closer to insolvency.
Also read: What the "Big Beautiful Bill" could mean for your energy bills—and the environment
And it’s not just Social Security. Medicare’s hospital insurance trust fund (that’s Part A, which covers hospital stays and skilled nursing) is also projected to run dry in late 2032. If that happens, payments for hospital services could be cut by 11%.)
Right now, Congress has not moved forward with any specific fix. But according to the CRFB, that’s not a neutral position.
“Policymakers pledging not to touch Social Security are implicitly endorsing these deep benefit cuts for 62 million retirees in 2032 and beyond,” the committee said.
Read next: New bipartisan proposal could reshape Social Security—here’s what it means for your future
Key Takeaways
- Social Security's retirement fund in the US is now projected to run out of money by the end of 2032, potentially forcing automatic 24 percent cuts to benefits for millions, with retirees set to lose thousands of dollars a year.
- The latest outlook blames changes brought in by President Donald Trump’s Big, Beautiful Bill, which has sped up the insolvency of both Social Security and Medicare trust funds.
- By 2033, a couple retiring could face an $18,100 annual cut in benefits, with lower-income couples losing a larger proportion of their income, while high-income couples could see cuts closer to $24,000 a year.
- Experts are warning that unless politicians act soon, millions of current and future retirees and Medicare recipients will be hit by these deep cuts, with the situation made worse if certain tax cuts are made permanent.